Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream
Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA
Game Time & Date: 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, August 26
Coverage: NBA TV
Point Spread: Fever -1 (odds via bet365)
Caitlin Clark, O/U 21.5 Points at -130/+100 via bet365
Atlanta has been playing solid defense this season and one of the best defenses in the league since the break. But Clark and the Fever offense have been clicking. Since the Olympics, the Fever offense has averaged 90 points per game, second to Minnesota (90.6ppg).
Clark is third in scoring with 25 points per game (29, 23, and 23). She had 16 points (June 13) and seven (June 21) in Indiana's previous two games vs. Atlanta.
While there is value in taking the UNDER (considering how well the Dream are playing defense), Clark and the Indiana offense have been playing well enough for us to lean towards taking the OVER.
O/U 9.5 Assists at -115/-115 via bet365
While she leads the league in assists (8.3 per game), Clark is not recording them at the same pace as before the break (she averaged 12.5 per game in July; 9 per game since the break). Clark had seven and six in the two previous games against the Dream.
We are leaning towards the UNDER. However, with how well Atlanta has played defense, this one could go either way.
O/U 5.5 Rebounds at -120/-110 via bet365
We've been riding the UNDER on this one in recent games, and it has hit in the last three. She'll pull down a few boards because she is a playmaker, but don't count on her recording more than five. Clark had four in both prior games vs. the Dream.
Kelsey Mitchell, O/U 20.5 Points at +100/-130 via bet365
Mitchell has been one of the driving forces for Indiana's offense since the break, with 28, 27, and 21 points. Atlanta's defense is playing well, but with two dynamic scoring threats to defend (three if you count Aaliyah Boston), they may be spread too thin in this game.
Boston has been dominating the boards for Indiana, so we think Mitchell and Clark will lead the way on the scoreboard again. Mitchell's total is a little high, but the plus money odds (relative to the odds for the UNDER) have us leaning toward the OVER.
Rhyne Howard, O/U 16.5 Points at -115/-115 via bet365
Allisha Gray, O/U 16.5 Points at -115/-115 via bet365
Tina Charles, O/U 13.5 Points at -115/-115 via bet365
What offense the Dream will generate will likely come from Howard, Charles, and/or Gray. Charles and Gray have gone OVER their total for this game in three of their last four; Howard has done so in two. All three will find scoring easier against Indiana, but it's unlikely all three will go OVER.
There is a chance all three do, but we are leaning toward taking the OVER for Gray and Charles over Howard.
For more insights on this Monday WNBA matchup, read our full Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream game preview and prediction.
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New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury
Location: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ
Game Time & Date: 10 p.m. ET on Monday, August 26
Coverage: NBA TV/Mercury Live
Point Spread: Liberty -4.5 (odds via bet365)
Breanna Stewart, O/U 19.5 Points at -115/-115 via bet365
Stewart has been good for 19.6 points per game this season, 20.5 ppg on the road, and 21 ppg in her last five. But the Phoenix defense has been playing well, allowing just 76.6 points per game in their last five. With Ionescu back in the lineup, she may take fewer shots.
We're leaning towards the UNDER.
Sabrina Ionescu, O/U 20.5 Points at +100/-130 via bet365
She had gone over the total for this game in six of seven before missing time with an injury. But Ionescu had a quiet night on Saturday after missing the last two games; she hit just three of 13 shots (2-12 from three-point range).
While the plus-money odds make the OVER tempting, we are not confident she'll get back on track in this game. We are leaning towards the UNDER, but the OVER is not necessarily a bad bet.
Kahleah Copper, O/U 22.5 Points at +100/-130 via bet365
Copper got off to a strong start after the break with 29 points vs. Chicago and 32 vs. Indiana. But then she had just seven vs. Chicago and then 22 and 16 vs. Atlanta. She is one of the more dynamic scoring threats in the WNBA, but New York is the best defensive team in the league on the road.
If the Mercury were facing anyone else, we'd lean toward the OVER. But against the Liberty and its defense, take the UNDER.
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Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm
Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA
Game Time & Date: 10 p.m. ET on Monday, August 26
Coverage: WNBA League Pass
Point Spread:Storm -7.5 (odds via bet365)
Jewell Loyd, O/U 20.5 Points at -115/-115 via bet365
Loyd has played well against the Mystics this season, but while she had 24 points in the first meeting (May 19), she had 18 in the second (May 25) and again in the third on August 20, which happened to be their first win since play resumed and the last time the Storm played.
Such a long layoff could be a good or a bad thing. In Seattle's case— it's going to be a good thing. Some time off can serve as a reset when things aren't clicking. Lloyd is one of the best shooters in the WNBA, and she'll prove that tonight. Take the OVER.
Skylar Diggins-Smith, O/U 14.5 Points at +100/-130 via bet365
Diggins-Smith has been more of a presence on the scoreboard since returning from the break, scoring 29 vs. the Dream, 15 vs. the Fever, and 17 against the Mystics, a big step up from averaging 10.3 points per game in July.
She's had 16, 18, and 17 in three outings vs. the Mystics. Because of her history vs. the Mystics and the plus-money odds, we're leaning towards the OVER.
Nneka Ogwumike, O/U 7.5 Rebounds at -140/+110 via bet365
Ezi Magbegor, O/U 7.5 Rebounds at -140/+110 via bet365
Magbegor averages 8.8 per game; Ogwumike, 7.7. In Seattle's three games since the break, Ogwumike has had six, nine, and eight; Magbegor, seven, seven, and 14. Both are solid rebounders and could easily go OVER 7.5 rebounds against the worst-rebounding team in the league.
The Mystics average 32 per game (dead last); Seattle averages 35.6 (fourth best). If you want to go with one, take the OVER for Magbegor. But we're leaning towards taking the OVER for both.
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